4  Concept Generation and Selection

4.1 Diverge before converging

Generate multiple plausible concepts before committing to a design. Sketches, morphological charts, analogies, and simple physical experiments can reveal alternatives that would otherwise be overlooked.

4.2 Compare concepts consistently

A weighted decision matrix can make assumptions visible. First agree on criteria and weights, then score alternatives using the same scale and evidence base. Document the rationale—not only the final score.

Criterion Weight Concept A Concept B
Performance 0.40 4 3
Cost 0.25 2 5
Maintainability 0.20 5 3
Schedule risk 0.15 4 4
Weighted total 1.00 3.70 3.65

On this illustrative 1-to-5 scoring scale, A scores 3.70 and B scores 3.65. This small gap is not a definitive winner; sensitivity analysis and prototypes should help decide.

Check: Safety-critical violations should not be traded away for a high weighted score.

Note

Living chapter. This is an initial working treatment. Derivations, examples, and references will be expanded in future editions.